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Losing runs betting advice tips sport betting

Losing runs betting advice

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CAN YOU PUSH IN SPORTS BETTING

It serves to educate you on strike-rates and how they can guide you as per losing runs and what to expect. Many people during such a sequence would throw in the towel, yet this is not always the wisest move. Because no-one is immune to bad runs, yet how we handle and react to them is vitally important.

My thanks to Steve for giving me permission to share this article and I hope you enjoy it. The results will surprise many and would need to be fully understood by anyone seriously intending to embark on a lengthy series of short-priced bets. One of the quickest ways to disaster is to be ignorant about losing sequences. They can occur without warning at any time, and they can quickly devastate a betting bank if it is of insufficient size to absorb them.

First of all, how do you know what the length of these losing sequences is likely to be? Well actually, that is fairly easy to predict, provided you have an accurate idea of your strike rate. Sequences are directly related to strike rate, and you can mathematically determine the likelihood of specific sequences appearing, provided you know what percentage of the bets in a series are going to win.

You can then use this criteria to set up your betting bank. My view is that the size of your opening bank should equal the longest losing sequence you could encounter during an extended series of bets, multiplied by your maximum stake. To illustrate, I have produced the table below, which you can use to determine your staking strategy.

That sequence of 14 is less than likely to occur, but it will still happen, on average, once in every four series. However, that is the figure you should use in constructing your betting bank. If you are to operate professionally that is what you must do. Using the formula I mentioned earlier, you would multiply the longest losing sequence you could encounter during the series in the above example that would be 20 by your maximum stake.

If that is, say, 5 points, then your starting bank should be points. They are mathematically determined by your strike rate and will happen as often as they are entitled to, whether you like it or not. Nobody can avoid them, but the difference between a professional and an amateur is that the professional is fully prepared for them. Frequently asked questions. Can i get a FREE trail? No we do not work with a FREE trial.

We have an economical solution for the people who want to test our system. How often do you post new predictions? We post daily new predictions in each group around 5 — 10 predictions. How often do you win?

We win every day, we have 3 different groups. In which we always grab at least 1 win! How can i join your platform? You will immediately receive a password at your specified e-mail address. What are the available payment methods? I have bought a subscription but i didn't recieve a password. It can take up to 10 minutes before you will recieve a password so please be patient.

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Keep going! Last day we won! Thanks I am very happy I am part of this community! Fast communication! I also won a lot with the bets off Sportsbrainy! I never won with sport bets until I met Sporsbrainy!

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So, in a losing run, stakes automatically reduce. But in a winning run, they increase. This way we capitalise on winning runs but reduce losses on losing runs. Divide your bank by this figure and you have your first stake. This a greatly underestimated factor in betting. For even the most successful pro gamblers the odds and strike rate will not be too different. They would be delighted with that. But this is unheard of. How many of us would get to even half those losers before giving up?

Having surveyed our subscribers, we know these losing runs, or, more accurately, the psychological effect of them, are their biggest bug bear. We are currently perfecting something that will go a long way to solving this problem so keep an eye on your inbox. If you have dared to reach out and touch your dreams then you can have no regrets and this is a most enviable state".

Life is a gamble — being born is a gamble. So in perspective losing a few quid on a horse is not really that much of a loss unless you are betting to survive of course. The bookies work on the principle of punters not sticking to a method or system of betting and obviously. We only need one in a lifetime and we are only here once.

You must be logged in to post a comment. What a refreshing read about you and your brothers history and have signed in to your site. If you have dared to reach out and touch your dreams then you can have no regrets and this is a most enviable state" Log in to Reply. Life is a gamble — being born is a gamble and thank goodness enough of us survive against all the odds. We have been round the clock a fair bit and we have seen briliant starting runs with some of our services only for them to fall as the probabilities gain their revenge.

We have also subscribed to services over the years ourselves and they all do the same. If you are made uncomfortable by that figure, then you are doomed to fail from the start. Remember you are more likely to carry on betting with money already won rather than money derived from your own pocket which naturally you have a greater emotional tie to. Sometimes we have to take a step back staking wise to gather momentum and then climb the ladder. He is always looking for new angles for himself and On Course Profits readers.

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So just because your last bet won or lost, it makes it no likelier that your next bet will do the same. The horse running in the 3. That alongside a greater understanding of the betting strike-rate can make a world of difference to your betting. And as ever you also need patience.

Patience in abundance at times, but for those of you able to apply this to your betting — the rewards are there with the right tipsters. If you are interested in learning more about both the top tipsters we recommend AND what it takes to win long-term as a bettor, then you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership. But we also do our best to explain, educate and inform on how to setup like a professional and handle the psychological swings of betting.

For every tipster we review and recommend we give ratings and scores on things like risk and profitability as well as guidance on the size betting bank you need if following. For example, you can enjoy an extra month free of charge to the Daily Bargain as an SBC member if subscribing to them. Best of all you can sign-up today and enjoy a full money back guarantee if not satisfied by what we offer.

If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via pete smartbettingclub. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can! Often because during a losing run, one of them quits in reaction to a short-term run of form.

There is no shame in this — after all the emotion of betting can be very hard to handle, especially when you are expecting to make a profit and yet you keep losing. Yet there is a way to get through them — simply by having a better understanding of some fundamentals that underpin value betting such as your strike-rate.

It serves to educate you on strike-rates and how they can guide you as per losing runs and what to expect. Many people during such a sequence would throw in the towel, yet this is not always the wisest move. Because no-one is immune to bad runs, yet how we handle and react to them is vitally important. My thanks to Steve for giving me permission to share this article and I hope you enjoy it.

The results will surprise many and would need to be fully understood by anyone seriously intending to embark on a lengthy series of short-priced bets. One of the quickest ways to disaster is to be ignorant about losing sequences. They can occur without warning at any time, and they can quickly devastate a betting bank if it is of insufficient size to absorb them. First of all, how do you know what the length of these losing sequences is likely to be?

Well actually, that is fairly easy to predict, provided you have an accurate idea of your strike rate. Sequences are directly related to strike rate, and you can mathematically determine the likelihood of specific sequences appearing, provided you know what percentage of the bets in a series are going to win. You can then use this criteria to set up your betting bank.

My view is that the size of your opening bank should equal the longest losing sequence you could encounter during an extended series of bets, multiplied by your maximum stake. To illustrate, I have produced the table below, which you can use to determine your staking strategy. That sequence of 14 is less than likely to occur, but it will still happen, on average, once in every four series.

However, that is the figure you should use in constructing your betting bank. If you are to operate professionally that is what you must do. Using the formula I mentioned earlier, you would multiply the longest losing sequence you could encounter during the series in the above example that would be 20 by your maximum stake. If that is, say, 5 points, then your starting bank should be points. They are mathematically determined by your strike rate and will happen as often as they are entitled to, whether you like it or not.

Nobody can avoid them, but the difference between a professional and an amateur is that the professional is fully prepared for them. It is also recommended that you set aside a reserve bank which can be used to temporarily top up the main bank in extreme circumstances. For example, a downturn which is over and above any which had originally been catered for perhaps the original strike rate calculation was based on insufficient data and needs amending.

Once you have accurately anticipated your strike rate, you will be able to use the table below to optimise your bank structure. You will be well on your way to securing a successful future in a professional manner. Please note: The table below is based on a series of between and bets.

A shorter series would be less likely to contain sequences as long as these and a longer series would be more likely. I hope you enjoyed this article — if you have any feedback on it, please do share your thoughts with me via email — pete smartbettingclub. But a reality check in terms of what to expect when following a racing tipster.

One of the biggest warning signs I look for when observing a tipster is if they have never had a losing run of some kind. So if I see a racing tipster in business for 30 months, yet every single month has been profitable — well it sets alarm bells that all is not what it seems. Simply because to go 30 months without making a loss in at least a few of them is unrealistic and unprobable.

This tipster has made points profit Why was this top-rated tipster giving nothing but losers? The reality is that this run of 38 losers was just randomness at play and as long as sticking firm, the rewards would flow as indeed they did. Of the very next 83 bets advised since this run of losers, the service has made a This short-term run of losers was over and in some style and had you quit at the wrong time then you would be kicking yourself right now!

To highlight how often this kind of thing happens, another highly rated expert we recommend — lets call him Tipster Y also had a similar bad run of form in August During one period, he advised 41 bets and found just 1 winner, losing Imagine paying for that kind of tipping advice! And when you look back to the first 4 months of the year Jan to April he also made When you are backing at higher odds like this, your strike-rate will always be lower and there will be times when it gets really low as we saw with 1 in 38 and 1 in 41 above.

This is something I will be exploring in more detail in a forthcoming article on strike-rates and what to expect, but for now do be aware that the higher the strike-rate, the greater the likelihood of a losing run. I wanted to pen this article today not to scare you from using tipsters, but to just help provide some context on the reality of what to expect at times.

What I do want to encourage is the simple notion of having a longer-term and more patient mindset and to disabuse the idea that simply because you pay for tips, you will no longer have a bad run. I do at times come across some punters unaware of this fact and they are likely the type who will have quit Tipster X or Tipster Y at some point during the losing runs I outlined above. Which of course is exactly the worst thing you can do as significant profits were just around the corner.

As that outlines, whether it be a horse racing, football, baseball, golf or tennis tipster under the review microscope — we leave no stone unturned in our quest to examine what is on offer and we focus very much on long-term profits. Not just what a tipster made just last week or in August, but several years and often thousands of thousands of past bets. In my email last week, I touched upon the pain of losing bets , a topic that seems to have spoken to many of you judged by my mailbox over the last 7 days.

Whether it be learning how to stay on track during a losing run , dealing with how losing bets can affect your mood or simply a desire to help you cope better during times of betting adversity — I hope my email today can help provide some assistance. Remember you are more likely to carry on betting with money already won rather than money derived from your own pocket which naturally you have a greater emotional tie to.

Sometimes we have to take a step back staking wise to gather momentum and then climb the ladder. He is always looking for new angles for himself and On Course Profits readers. Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked.

Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed. Share 0. Tweet 0. Got an opinion? Share it in the comments below Related Posts. Kieran Systems Sunday 7th February.