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In the most straightforward terms, UFC predictions involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. With about a two-and-a-half-year layoff, this is a little concerning. Marquez is averaging 3. He is absorbing 3.
In terms of grappling, Marquez defends takedowns 52 percent of the time. When he does get taken down, he is very good at flipping the situation and is averaging 3. Pitolo comes into this fight with an MMA record of He is in the UFC, losing two fights in a row. He is averaging 4. He is absorbing 4. His grappling is decent, averaging 1. He does land takedowns 66 percent of the time and defends them 50 percent of the time.
Pitolo fought better in his most recent fight, but was still picked apart. His inconsistent fighting gives me no confidence in backing him here. At the same time, the layoff for Marquez is still going to be an issue. Still, Marquez has the necessary power to end this fight, or he could force a tap. Even though this line is a bit high, backing Marquez would be my play and I would consider using him in a parlay.
This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Green comes into this fight as the clear favorite, and has an MMA record of He is coming off a loss to Thiago Moises back in October of This snapped his three-fight winning streak and Green is now in the UFC. Green is averaging 5.
His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1. His takedown accuracy is 41 percent and his takedown defense is 72 percent. He is coming off a loss to Vince Pachel back in August of Miller is averaging 2. He is absorbing 2. Miller is more likely to try and fight on the ground, where he is averaging 1. Though his takedown accuracy is 43 percent and his takedown defense is 46 percent. This has the makings of a fight that looks like it will go the full distance.
Green has seen his last nine fights in a row go the distance and his last submission loss was in , before he joined the UFC. Green does not have crazy power either, so backing this fight to go the distance will be my play. Gastelum comes into this fight with an MMA record of He is in the UFC and has lost three fights in a row. Most recently was the fight against Jack Hermansson, where he lost by submission in the first round. Gastelum is averaging 3. In terms of grappling, Gastelum is averaging 0.
Though his takedown accuracy is only 37 percent. Heinisch comes into this fight with an MMA record of Heinisch is averaging 3. Heinisch is a decent grappler, averaging 1. At the same time, his takedown accuracy is only 19 percent. It is hard to justify the price set on Gastelum roughly when you factor in his three-fight losing streak.
He does have 10 finishes in his career with five of them coming in the UFC. Even still, he has not had a finish since , making me believe he will not find one here either. Heinisch appears to have better striking as well, so as a lean, I am going to back the underdog here to win his second consecutive fight. Grasso comes into this fight with an MMA record of This was a win by unanimous decision and came back in August of Grasso is averaging 5.
She is absorbing 3. Her grappling is not quite as good, averaging 0. Her takedown accuracy is 40 percent and her takedown defense is 63 percent. Barber comes into this fight with an MMA record of She is in the UFC after losing her first fight back in January of Barber is averaging 6. Barber is decent with her grappling ability, averaging 0. Though her takedown accuracy is only 30 percent. She does defend takedowns 80 percent of the time, so that will be a huge boost in this fight.
We have to be careful here because of the injury that Barber is coming off of. As a result, my pick would be Barber on the money line to bounce back as a small underdog. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. This fight will also be a fight for the UFC Welterweight title belt. Usman comes into this fight with an MMA record of Usman is averaging 4.
Also, note that Usman has never been knocked out. What makes Usman so good is that he has elite grappling as well. He is averaging 3. More impressively, his takedown defense is a perfect percent. He has won six fights in a row, most recently beating Tyron Woodley in May of Burns is averaging 3.
His grappling is also an important part of his fighting style, averaging 2. Probably Moicano, who is making his debut in the lightweight division after moving from the welterweight. Both fighters love to finish their fights early. In fact, both Walker and Krylov have only one bout each that went the distance in their entire professional careers. This one too will probably finish before the final bell.
The fighter likely to be standing on his feet when that happens is Johnny Walker. The year-old Trinaldo started his pro career back in Makdessi did the same two years later. A fun fact is that Trinaldo has never lost a fight by knockout.
His opponent, on the other hand, is still without a win by submission. Neither a knockout nor submission is expected to decide this fight.
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